VIOLENCE PLAGUES WESTERN BORDER
Tribesmen stand guard at a tribal assembly, South Waziristan.
The region has become a haven for al Qaeda and Taliban militants since 2001 when many fled there
from Afghanistan after U.S.-led troops toppled the Taliban following the 9/11 attacks. The militants have used the region
to orchestrate their insurgency against the Afghan government and the U.S. and NATO forces supporting it.
But Islamic militancy has now spread out of the tribal areas and the so-called Pakistani
Taliban have mounted regular attacks in major Pakistani towns and cities, many aimed at security forces and other government
targets. Pakistan has also seen an escalation of violence surrounding its
recent political crisis with suicide attacks on troops and other targets across the country. Hundreds of people were killed
in the run-up to the general election in early 2008, including opposition leader Benazir Bhutto who was assassinated at the
end of 2007. Aside from battling the insurgency in the northwest, Pakistan's
troops are involved in another conflict in the southwestern province of Baluchistan, a strategically important and resource-rich
region neighbouring Afghanistan. Militants in Baluchistan are fighting for more political and economic autonomy for the province.
But analysts say the Taliban and their Pakistani allies are also
using Baluchistan as a base for operations and sanctuary. A senior U.S. official said in early 2008 that al Qaeda leader Osama
bin Laden was operating from somewhere in Pakistan and that Taliban leader Mullah Omar was directing the insurgency from Quetta
in Baluchistan.
The United States, which viewed Pakistan's former
president, Pervez Musharraf, as one of its key allies in the war on terror, has given the country billions in military, economic
and development aid since 2001.
WAZIRISTAN:
CRACKDOWN ON PRO-TALIBAN MILITANTS
Pakistan's seven
tribal areas (or agencies) were created by the British to serve as a buffer between what was then northwestern India and Afghanistan.
A special form of political administration, based on independent jirga (council) systems, was devised to govern the Pashtun
tribes which fiercely resisted colonial rule. This system has survived
more or less intact, meaning that tribal elders continue to run their affairs in accordance with their Islamic faith, customs
and traditions. Since 2001, the northwestern belt has become a hideout
for al Qaeda and pro-Taliban militants. The areas of most concern include South Waziristan, North Waziristan and Bajaur.
From late 2003 to early 2005, the Pakistan army focused on hunting down al Qaeda in
South Waziristan, later shifting its attention to North Waziristan. The main battleground is now Bajaur at the northeastern
extreme of the tribal belt. It is the smallest of the seven agencies with a population of one million.
Bin Laden - blamed for the 9/11 attacks on U.S. cities - is believed to have passed
through North Waziristan during his escape from Afghanistan after the U.S.-led invasion. The government bombing of an alleged militant hideout in the region sparked violent clashes in March 2006. Several
hundred militants seized government buildings in the town of Miranshah, leading to confrontations in which more than 120 died.
The heavy handed tactics of Musharraf's government - largely a response
to external pressure - were widely thought to have backfired, pushing sympathies further towards the Taliban and fundamentalist
Islamic beliefs.
PACT WITH TRIBAL LEADERS UNRAVELS
A madrasa (Islamic school) is blown up by security forces in Miranshah, North
Waziristan.
In September 2006, Musharraf's government decided to soften its approach, signing a
deal with tribal leaders and pro-Taliban forces. Islamabad agreed to hold off military operations, free prisoners and withdraw
from checkpoints. In return, militants promised to end attacks on the army, distance themselves from foreign fighters, and
stop movement across the Afghan border.
The deal's supporters
said it would empower tribal elders to control militants, although critics argued it would create a sanctuary for the Taliban
and al Qaeda. In the following months, attacks on U.S.-led troops in eastern
Afghanistan trebled, and an October 2006 U.S. congressional report said Taliban activities in the border region had increased.
The deal unravelled in July 2007 amid a surge in violence in northwest
Pakistan, following the army's storming of the radical Lal Masjid (Red Mosque) in Islamabad. After a week-long siege,
troops killed 75 supporters of hardline clerics at the mosque, many of whom were thought to come from the northwest. North Waziristan militants scrapped the peace deal, arguing that the government had
violated it by launching attacks and deploying more troops in the area.
As
the pact collapsed, the U.S. president's national security adviser called on Musharraf to take further action against
militants in the region, pledging Washington's full support. Violence in North Waziristan and other parts of northwest
Pakistan intensified sharply. There was a flare-up in October 2007, when government forces deployed artillery, helicopter
gunships and fighter jets in clashes with Islamist tribesmen near the town of Mir Ali. Many were wounded and thousands displaced.
The New York Times reported in July 2007 that the United States
planned to pour $750 million in aid into Pakistan's tribal areas over the next five years, as part of a campaign to win
over the local population. But there were concerns over how effectively the money could be spent on development in such a
lawless and insecure region.
MILITANT VIOLENCE
SPREADS
Following an army attack on a militant base in
South Waziristan in January 2007, cities around Pakistan were hit by a wave of suicide bombings, including the capital Islamabad,
Quetta and Peshawar in the northwest. A backlash against the security
forces intensified after the July raid on the Lal Masjid mosque, confirming fears that unrest in the tribal areas was spilling
over into other regions. Nearly 800 people were killed in militant-related violence in the following four months - many in
suicide attacks and bomb blasts. In October, a suicide attack killed 139
people at a rally in Karachi to mark Bhutto's return from eight years of self-imposed exile. The attack was one of the
deadliest in Pakistan's history.
Musharraf imposed a state of
emergency in Pakistan in November 2007 citing rising militancy as a key reason. He suspended the constitution, sacked most
judges and locked up lawyers. Diplomats said his main aim was to stop the Supreme Court ruling that his earlier re-election
as president had been invalid on the grounds he was still army chief at the time. Emergency rule was lifted in December.
Bhutto's grieving Pakistan People's Party won elections in February 2008. Musharraf,
under threat of impeachment, eventually resigned in August and was replaced by Bhutto's widower Asif Ali Zardari.
Pakistan's new government has committed itself to the U.S.-led campaign against
militancy even though it is deeply unpopular.
BAJAUR
In August 2008, Pakistani forces launched offensives against al Qaeda and Taliban
militants in Bajaur - a major infiltration route for militants entering eastern Afghanistan. Around 2,000 militants are battling about 9,000 soldiers backed by air power. The militants are said
to include Afghans, Uzbeks and Arabs as well as Pakistani Taliban. A Pakistani
general in Bajaur has described it as a "centre of gravity" for Islamist guerrillas and estimates 65 percent of
the militant problem would be eliminated if they were defeated in Bajaur. He described the conflict in Waziristan as more
of a "tribal war", whereas the situation in Bajaur has more "international linkages". Pakistani intelligence officers have said al Qaeda second-in-command Ayman al Zawahri is believed
to have visited Bajaur in recent years.
There has also been serious
fighting in the picturesque Swat Valley in North West Frontier Province to the east of Bajaur. The army has sent in thousands
of troops to oust militants in the region who are led by Maulana Fazlullah, a young hardline cleric known for spouting jihad
on the radio and riding around on a white horse gathering donations.
The
fighting has forced several hundred thousand villagers to flee their homes in Bajaur and the Swat Valley, which had been a
popular tourist destination until recently. Civilians have also been killed
in army operations. The military has vehemently denied allegations by local people that it is deliberately targetting civilians
perceived to be sympathetic to the Taliban or local political groups. For more on this read: Civilians suffer as Pakistan
army targets Taliban.
Frustrated by the intensifying Taliban insurgency
in Afghanistan, U.S. forces have carried a number of missile strikes in northwest Pakistan and a cross-border commando raid.
The assaults have angered the government and strained relations between the allies. Pakistan says U.S. strikes and the civilian casualties they inflict drive people into the arms of the militants.
BALUCHISTAN
A pro-government militiaman during an operation against separatists in Kohlu,
Baluchistan.
Saeed Tribal militants in Baluchistan have staged several insurgencies since the
mid-20th century to fight for greater political autonomy and control over local mineral resources.
The conflict flared up again in December 2005, following a rocket attack during a visit by Musharraf
to the town of Kohlu. This spurred the Pakistani military to launch a major crackdown against nationalist groups in the region.
Since then, militants have regularly blown up gas pipelines, rail tracks
and power lines, and launched rocket attacks on government buildings and army bases.
The security agencies have responded by targeting hundreds of Baluch dissidents, including political activists, students,
doctors, lawyers, journalists and even shopkeepers. In 2006, the Human
Rights Commission of Pakistan cited numerous instances of intimidation, arbitrary arrests, torture, disappearances and extrajudicial
killings by security forces and intelligence agencies.
Much of the
militant violence is thought to be carried out by a group known as the Baluch Liberation Army (BLA), which was set up in the
1970s. The government has listed it as a terrorist organisation. In 2006,
the government stopped Baluch nationalist leaders from travelling outside Pakistan and ordered the country's internet
service providers to block access to websites containing Baluch nationalist material.
The militants have focused on attacking infrastructure and the army's lines of communication, while
trying to draw in other groups to support them against the Punjabi elite. The Pakistani authorities have made allegations
that the militants are receiving external support, particularly from India.
Baluchistan was not incorporated into Pakistan until 1948, when Pakistani troops moved in, forcing the Khan of Kalat,
the monarch who had ruled the area under the umbrella of the British Empire, to give up hopes of independence. In the mid-1950s, the People's Party, a new nationalist party, was launched by the
Prince of Kalat, and in 1972, it joined with the National Awami Party, based in North West Frontier Province, and the Islamist
Jamait-ul-Ullema-i-Islam in opposition to the centralising government of President Zulfiqar Ali Bhutto (Benazir Bhutto's
father).
Major conflict broke out in 1973 after the intelligence
services intercepted a consignment of weapons headed for Baluchistan and Bhutto dismissed the regional government. Thousands of militants fought the national army, which targeted the Baluch tribes'
livestock, their key economic asset. The insurgency dragged on until 1977, when Bhutto was overthrown and the military regime
of General Zia ul-Haq arrived at a political settlement with some Baluch leaders. Around 9,000 people died in the violence.
DEVELOPMENT AND POLITICAL GRIEVANCES
Since then, resentment against the central government has grown as infrastructure
has been built to exploit the province's rich natural resources, especially gas. The Sui field in Baluchistan's Bugti
tribal area produces around 45 percent of Pakistan's natural gas. The province also has significant deposits of uranium
and copper. Development has fuelled local frustration for two key reasons.
Firstly, Baluchs feel their province is being increasingly monopolised by non-indigenous migrants attracted by its economic
opportunities. Secondly, there's a widespread perception that the province
does not receive a fair share of benefits from the exploitation of its natural resources. Baluch nationalists say natural
gas generates $1.4 billion a year, but Islamabad gives the province only $116 million in royalties.
One major infrastructure project targeted by Baluch militants is the construction of a strategically
important port at Gwadar on Pakistan's Arabian Sea coast near the mouth of the Persian Gulf. Work began on the deep-sea
port and naval base in 2002, with the majority of funding coming from China. The port facilities and its workers have been
targeted in sporadic attacks since 2004 when several Chinese engineers were killed.
Besides calling for a larger dividend from development projects and the exploitation of natural resources, Baluch
militants want more control over their administrative affairs. Analysts say local people have few political channels through
which to voice their grievances and demands.
In March 2006, the
provincial assembly voted to form a bipartisan panel to try to make peace between the authorities and warring tribal leaders,
but this has not yielded significant results. Relations between Baluch
nationalists and Islamabad soured further after veteran rebel leader Nawab Akbar Khan Bugti was killed in a battle with government
troops in August 2006. The former respected provincial governor, who had
joined up with rebels in the mountains earlier that year, died in an assault on his cave hideout - although the government
denied targeting him. Several people were killed in violent street protests and bomb blasts following Bugti's death.
In September 2006, the heads of over 80 Baluch tribes met at a tribal jirga (council),
and called for an end to military operations in the province, dubbing them "state terrorism". Brussels-based think tank International Crisis Group said in an October 2007 report that the government's
approach to the conflict was alienating the province even further, causing young activists to lose faith in the political
process and turn to armed resistance as a way of securing their rights. It
also pointed out that the Afghan Taliban and their allies in Pakistan are using Baluchistan as an operating base and sanctuary,
and are recruiting from religious schools run by the Pashtun Islamist party JUI-F.
DISPLACEMENT
Residents prepare to move to a safer place after an army crackdown in Baluchistan.
Saeed In both northwest and southwest Pakistan, tens of thousands of citizens have fled violence, although in some cases
the displacement has been temporary. Calculating the numbers is difficult, due to a lack of access and little political will
to acknowledge the problem.
The U.N. refugee agency UNHCR reported
in October 2008 that some 190,000 people had been displaced from Bajaur since fighting started in August. Most were sheltering
in North West Frontier Province but some had fled into eastern Afghanistan. The UNHCR said it could not access most of these
areas for security reasons, and relied on government estimates. The former Afghan refugee villages of Katcha Gari and Jalozai
(in or near Peshawar) are being adapted to cater for some of the displaced.
Waziristan has also seen growing levels of displacement. In October 2007, the Human Rights Commission of Pakistan
said 80,000 people were uprooted by the fighting around Mir Ali.
International
aid agencies are trying to boost their development activities in northwest Pakistan as well as complete recovery work after
the 2005 earthquake that hit Kashmir and North West Frontier Province. The tribal areas, in particular, have suffered from
poor literacy, scarce development funding and the fallout from the instability in Afghanistan. But the operating environment
is difficult. Aid agency facilities have been attacked from time to time, forcing them to suspend work.
Aid agencies in Baluchistan include the UNHCR, which mainly supports Afghan refugees
in the province, and the World Food Programme. But humanitarian and development workers have come up against bureaucratic
hurdles when trying to help the local population.
In December 2006,
the Christian Science Monitor reported that the government had withheld approval for relief distributions in Baluchistan,
despite a U.N. survey saying more than a quarter of children under five were acutely malnourished.
"The official logic is that they can't guarantee safety for the internationals, or even
for local aid groups," Samina Ahmed, head of the Crisis Group office in Islamabad, told the Monitor. "The unofficial
logic, I suspect, is basically neglect more than anything."
In
early 2007, the United Nations launched an operation to help improve the nutrition of thousands of women and children in the
province. In June and July that year, Baluchistan, along with Sindh province,
was hit by severe flooding that destroyed homes, crops and roads, and temporarily displaced over 2.5 million people. There
was criticism of the humanitarian response to this disaster - with aid agencies saying their ability to provide relief was
hampered by the government's hesitation in requesting international help.